Trade-in your anxiety and hoping for trading conviction. A 4-step framework.

 

4-step trading framework: Improving performance by solving common trader issues

Are you finding navigating the world of trading a challenging and overwhelming experience? Or perhaps you'd like practical guidance to overcome current obstacles? Either way, by outlining the problems each step solves, you have greater clarity on where you can improve your trading.

Framework steps and the problems they solve

1. Specialise

Specialising in a market, much like the floor traders did, solves the following problems:

  • Overwhelmed by too many instruments to follow

  • Stuck in analysis and not trading

  • Not taking advantage of experience by focusing on a single market

  • Lack of understanding that leads to poor trading decisions

2. Playing Field

Applying a playing field creates order and structure in an otherwise erratic and chaotic trading environment. It solves the following problems:

  • Unawareness of market makers and institutional trading

  • Tactics that used to work are no longer effective

  • Constantly getting chopped up

  • Adding to winners only to lose overall

  • Exiting too soon and missing market continuation

  • Giving back all profits while waiting for the market to move further

3. Catalyst

Genuine moves in markets, unlike inconsequential noise, are created by an underlying reason. When you identify and trade based on an underlying catalyst, you remove the following problems:

  • Taking "looks good" trades that ultimately lose more than they make

  • Trading based on recommendations or opinions

  • Losing due to lack of support from other traders to move price after you enter

  • Falling for simple trading traps set by larger traders

4. Playbook

Effective trading analysis includes a catalogue of trades with a proven positive edge based on multiple, unique, and easily distinguishable evidence characteristics.

This catalogue of successful trades is commonly referred to as a "playbook". A playbook overcomes the following problems:

  • Recency bias leading to false confidence

  • Trading with the crowd

  • Trading based on patterns with no edge

  • Unable to use tight risk management due to frequent stops

  • Larger losers than winners due to poor risk management.

Applying the framework using real-time trading

Specialise part 1: A market easy to trade short or long with no borrowing cost for trading short. It can be helpful if it has flexible trading hours (e.g. trades for 23 hours each day).

Specialise part 2: Without thought, traders gravitate toward the most competitive trading instruments. To make money, why compete in the most challenging pools on earth? Instead, you can focus on something with an extensive range of scenarios where you can exploit your lasting edge.

Playing Field: There's no chart below. Instead, the lines outline the playing field for the upcoming session. If the price moves near any of the lines, the different colours make it easy to remember what to do.
The largest playing field lies between 0.7115 (red) and 0.7138 (green). You will see how this plays a role in a minute.

 

Catalyst:

Observations:

  • AUD/USD increased after employment numbers

  • HKE re-opens post-holidays

  • Unknown to the crowd are long traders above 0.7138

  • Short speculators covering in January

Thinking it through:

  • Attempts to stop price increase will take time

  • Speculators will cover shorts or enter long

  • Market won't let offside long traders off the hook, watch for puking

  • Market will make new shorts feel safe before taking them out

  • HKE traders will provide liquidity

Putting it together:

  • Trade confined within primary playing field

  • Rotation day

  • Short-side opportunities to develop/build

  • Catch fast long trades - in and out quickly

  • Rinse and repeat approach, no holding for big plays

Playbook: The following playbook trades relate to the catalyst and playing field described above.

Trade 1 is a playbook trade is based on a proprietary calculation- Pre-Pro High™ (pink cirle).

 

Trade 2 is a scalp-at-transition playbook trade based on an instant cushion in your favour. And a quick exit if it doesn't open up further.

 

Trade 3 is what's known as the "Once-Bitten-Twice-Shy" playbook trade. While trade 4 is a premium under NDA playbook trade. the green ticks highlight the least challenging of all the executions.

 

Have you noticed the time gap between the first and last two trades? Although the price fluctuated during that time, no trades were taken because the market conditions didn't match the criteria set in the playbook. This highlights not all price movements are profitable trading opportunities.

The use of trading playbooks is a crucial aspect of successful professional trading. These playbooks are thoroughly researched and tested before being utilised in live trading. Once you've established a catalyst and identified a playing field, your task when trading is simply to wait for a trade that aligns with your playbook, and execute it.

Repeat this process every trading day. This strategy helps reduce the fear of missing out (FOMO), the fear of loss, and the stress and anxiety associated with trading. The four-step framework presented boosts your profits and helps build and maintain your trading confidence and conviction.

Further reading:

🔗 5 Steps to find your rhythm where trading feels very natural to you

 
Adam Fiske